Impeachment Hearings Not Swaying Voters, Polls Indicate

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by Paul Murano  •  ChurchMilitant.com  •  November 18, 2019   

Many want Biden and son to be included in hearings

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DETROIT (ChurchMilitant.com)  The House impeachment hearings far have not moved voters, according to a recent Rasmussen poll released Monday.

A plurality still believe President Trump will be reelected next November, and the percentage of people who think the president's impeachment is likely has not changed. But there is sizable support for expanding the hearings to include the activities of former Vice President Joe Biden and his son Hunter.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey has found 18% of likely U.S. voters think Trump will be impeached before serving his full term in office; 17% thought that way in September, down from the high of 29% when Rasmussen Reports first asked the question in December 2017.

Forty-five percent believe the president will be reelected in 2020, basically unchanged from surveys over the past year; 26% say he will be defeated by the Democratic nominee, but this finding has been trending down from 33% in late July and 28% two months ago.

At the same time, 46% of voters think the House of Representatives impeachment hearing should be expanded to look at Biden and his son Hunter's involvement in Ukrainian political affairs; 43% disagree with this, while 11% are undecided.

Of all those surveyed, 68% of Republican and unaffiliated voters, by a 48% to 39% margin, believe the impeachment hearings should include the Biden questions, but only 25% of Democrats agree. Women and African-Americans are much less supportive of the idea.

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Joe and Hunter Biden (AP)

The president's approval actually seems to be improving since the house hearings have begun. Trump's overall voter approval has been going up since Wednesday, the first day of the impeachment hearings. On Wednesday morning it was at 46%. Since then it rose to 48% on Thursday and 50% on Friday. The president's approval is at 50% again today, despite the highly-publicized hearings that have dominated much of the news media over the past three days.

Seventy-one percent of voters say they have closely followed the impeachment hearings while 42% said they followed very closely. Democrats (50%) are more likely than Republicans (36%) and unaffiliated voters (37%) to have admitted following it very closely.

Forty-five percent believe the president will be reelected in 2020, basically unchanged from surveys over the past year. 

Fifty-one percent of white people think Trump is likely to be re-elected, but only 19% of black people and 42% of other minority voters agree. Black people (35%) are far more likely than white people (15%) and other minorities (20%) to believe President Trump will be impeached. Seventy-six percent of Republicans and 53% of all voters think most reporters are trying to help get Trump impeached when they write or talk about the impeachment effort.

The Harris X-Hill poll of over 1,200 voters, also released on Monday, found that women are the demographic with the highest disapproval rate of  the president, at 63%. Thirty-seven percent of women approved of his performance. The RealClearPolitics average has a favor/against ratio on impeachment as being 48.5% vs. 45.7% — no worse than polling conducted before the impeachment inquiry began.

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