US Birth Rate Nosedive: Lowest in 30 Years

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by Rodney Pelletier  •  •  December 3, 2019   

Not enough yearly births to replace deceased

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ATLANTA ( - The U.S. birth rate is the lowest it's been in 30 years, joining Europe in the largest population crash in 30 years.

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) released its final National Vital Statistics Report on November 27, confirming a May interim report, that the 2018 U.S. birth rate was well below the replacement rate.

Fertility rates are also dropping, which means that fewer women of childbearing age are choosing to give birth or are doing it far less than they have in the past.

Some experts claim the younger "millennial" generation is opting out of having children, and more millennials, in general, are opting out of marriage and personal relationships with members of the opposites sex.

The report notes the total fertility rate (TFR) for the U.S. in 2018 was 1,729.5 births per 1,000 women, down 2% from 2017. Between 2007–2013 the fertility rate dropped steadily but was interrupted by a slight bump in 2014. Since then fertility rates have continued to plummet.

It goes on to report: "Among the race and Hispanic-origin groups, the TFR declined for nearly all groups in 2018, down 2% for non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic black, and Hispanic; 3% for non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaskan Native; and 5% for non-Hispanic Asian women," adding, "The rate for non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander women was essentially unchanged from 2017 to 2018."

The TFR for the nation in 2018 remained below replacement, the level at which a given generation can exactly replace itself (generally considered to be 2,100 births per 1,000 women). The U.S. TFR has generally been below replacement since 1971 (12,13). The TFR was below replacement for all race and Hispanic-origin groups in 2018, except non-Hispanic NHOPI women (2,106.5)

Earlier this year, demographers noted the United States is headed for a "baby crisis" where there will not be enough people born to replace those who are dying, leading to a population crisis.

In other countries, however, the birth rate is at near-catastrophic levels, like in Europe and Japan. In April, the Japanese Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare revealed the lowest number of births since the census first began in 1899. Not only that, but there is the shocking news that 1.3 million people died in Japan while there were only 981,000 births. 

The Irish Times, meanwhile, is declaring "European civilization is dying," because "birth rates in all 28 EU countries are now below replacement rates, and all indigenous populations are in decline."

Italy's health minister declared in 2015 the country is "dying," saying the birth rate is the lowest since records began to be kept in 1861.

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